Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.764864 3.190806 3.661655 4.220967 4.867599 5.592131 6.466200
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.225282 2.789573 3.467157 4.341635 5.441957 6.782787 8.544377
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.883133 2.537151 3.381254 4.552708 6.140464 8.223660 11.174895
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.579543 2.269438 3.219098 4.625630 6.663569 9.521246 13.854858
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.329896 2.024760 3.038507 4.631007 7.082356 10.733826 16.625743
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.093537 1.754470 2.770793 4.454951 7.194030 11.504934 18.866630
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.904471 1.522187 2.518785 4.253020 7.219488 12.130328 20.965988
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.802291 1.412000 2.440939 4.315562 7.677946 13.515595 24.549462
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.691120 1.267554 2.281555 4.209054 7.821504 14.376357 27.346597
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.648837 1.238019 2.316557 4.452148 8.627533 16.533359 32.885066
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.600129 1.188358 2.306161 4.606102 9.285523 18.508590 38.399758
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.541857 1.110938 2.230938 4.620028 9.666430 19.996128 43.171271
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.463600 0.984109 2.045074 4.391512 9.537682 20.479372 46.022717
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.434967 0.956067 2.056268 4.579464 10.326614 23.022716 53.874778
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.415130 0.943894 2.099128 4.843941 11.330829 26.206704 63.802669
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.384584 0.903017 2.073104 4.948411 11.986839 28.713318 72.602259
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.351839 0.851918 2.016224 4.971117 12.452397 30.850395 80.898936
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.310534 0.773988 1.885100 4.792156 12.390530 31.691310 86.021462
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.272852 0.699111 1.750037 4.580819 12.208846 32.195285 90.331387
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.254602 0.670692 1.725784 4.652225 12.783864 34.766485 100.862076
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.229334 0.620152 1.637808 4.539667 12.840760 35.956252 107.677132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.223516 0.620883 1.684196 4.803859 13.999116 40.398567 125.009997
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.213740 0.609232 1.695579 4.971273 14.908381 44.288951 141.447638